Methodology

How we calculate the Trust Score

Zero ambiguity. The full formula, the indicators we publish, and how they translate into a risk band. Published and auditable.

Three weighted pillars

The Trust Score is a weighted average of three components. Each component is independent and has its own indicator set on a 0–100 scale.

Pillar 01
40%

Compliance and Legal Certainty

Measures legal and consumer compliance verifiable from public data: PROFECO complaints and conciliations, RPCA-registered adhesion contract, and per-project municipal permits. This carries the highest weight because it is the foundation of any valid purchase.

Pillar 02
35%

Track Record and Performance

Measures how well the developer has delivered on past projects: time, quality, scope, and units delivered. Past delivery capacity is the best predictor of the next one.

Pillar 03
25%

Public Reputation

What real buyers and specialized press say. Reputation blends three sources with fixed weights: verified reviews (Bayesian-smoothed), media sentiment, and external aggregator ratings.

Pillar 01

Compliance and Legal Certainty · 40%

These 8 indicators are our disclosure framework: each is marked verified, pending verification, or not applicable for every developer, against public sources. The Compliance score moves only on verifiable signals (PROFECO complaints and conciliations, RPCA adhesion-contract registration, per-project municipal permits, and official irregularity flags). A missing data point is shown as “pending verification” — never counted as a pass.

  1. PROFECO Buró Comercial — complaint, conciliation, and arbitration counts
  2. PROFECO — share of complaints resolved in favor of the consumer
  3. Municipal construction licenses per project
  4. Land-use certificate and utility feasibility
  5. Environmental Impact Statement (MIA) where applicable
  6. Federal SEMARNAT permits in coastal or protected zones
  7. Adhesion contract registered with PROFECO
  8. Compliance with NOM-247-SE-2021 (mandatory clauses)
How it is computed

What moves the Compliance number

Full transparency: the Compliance score starts from an unverified baseline (55/100) and moves only on verifiable public evidence. We never reward missing data.

  • Per-project permits (c8–c11) → Each confirmed municipal permit adds; a permit reported as rejected subtracts.
  • PROFECO complaints — Buró Comercial (c1) → A verified record with no complaints adds; a high complaint volume subtracts.
  • Conciliation rate (c2) → If most complaints in conciliation resolve in the consumer’s favor, it adds; otherwise it subtracts.
  • RPCA-registered adhesion contract (c14) → PROFECO reviewed and struck abusive clauses before inscription → adds.
  • Irregularity flags → A shut-down project caps Compliance at 25; suspended subtracts 20 (see Red flags).

We only measure what open public data lets us verify (PROFECO + SEDETUS). Indicators that require private documents or gated lookups (SAT, INSEJUPY, notarial records) are not here — we prefer a short, honest framework over a long checklist with boxes that never fill.

Pillar 02

Track Record and Performance · 35%

14 operational indicators. We combine what the developer reports with physical verification of delivered projects and warranty data.

  1. Continuous years operating under the same legal name
  2. Number of verifiable delivered projects (site visit or registry)
  3. Total units delivered vs promised
  4. On-time delivery rate (no delay > 60 days)
  5. Average delay across delayed projects
  6. Geographic diversification of the portfolio
  7. Project mix: residential, commercial, mixed-use
  8. Share of abandoned or cancelled projects
  9. Compliance with 5/3/1 warranties (structure/waterproofing/installations)
  10. Formal claims for structural defects
  11. Claims for non-conformance with specifications
  12. Documented unilateral changes to the project mid-construction
  13. Historical liquidity to cover payroll and subcontractors
  14. Active institutional financing capacity
Pillar 03

Public Reputation · 25%

15 indicators weighted with Bayesian smoothing to resist low-volume manipulation, plus external sources that always carry weight even before Shield My Field has reviews.

  1. Verified reviews (with proof of purchase) on Shield My Field
  2. Bayesian-smoothed average rating
  3. Verified review volume (more volume = more weight)
  4. On-time delivery sub-rating in reviews
  5. Build quality sub-rating in reviews
  6. Customer service sub-rating in reviews
  7. Value-for-money sub-rating in reviews
  8. Recent catastrophic reviews (knockout if 3+ with under 2 stars)
  9. Google Business rating and volume
  10. Facebook page rating and volume
  11. Media sentiment in specialized press
  12. Mentions in buyer forums and Yucatán communities
  13. Recent reputational crisis (scandal, negative exposure)
  14. Developer responsiveness to reviews (transparency)
  15. Pattern vs isolated incident in similar complaints

Bayesian smoothing: why a single review does not determine your reputation

We apply Bayesian smoothing with prior mean 3.5 and smoothing constant C=5. The math behaves as if every developer started with C virtual neutral reviews. You need 10 or more verified reviews before reviews dominate the reputation calculation. A single 5-star review will not score 100, and a single 1-star review will not destroy it.

Reviews weight
≤ 65%
Media weight
25%
External weight
≤ 15%
Knockout
3+ → ≤50

Industry standard. IMDB, Rotten Tomatoes, and most serious rating systems use it. Its purpose is to resist manipulation.

Red flags

Irregular, suspended, or shut-down projects

When a Mexican authority officially publishes that a project is irregular, suspended, or shut down, we apply a published discount to the developer's Compliance score. The rule is transparent and auditable.

  • Shut down → Compliance capped at 25/100. Total score drops to High Risk band.
  • Suspended → Compliance reduced by 20 points (min 0).
  • Irregular without shutdown → No automatic discount; appears as a visible red flag on the profile.

Evidence rules

  • Every flag requires official folio, notice date, and public URL (gob.mx or other authority).
  • The developer is notified by email and has a 7-day grace window before the flag becomes publicly visible.
  • The developer's right of reply is always published alongside the flag.
  • If the authority lifts the shutdown/suspension, the flag is marked "cleared" and the score is recalculated.

Browse the SEDETUS Quintana Roo public registry for irregular developments outside the curated catalog.

Four risk bands

The final Trust Score number maps to one of four bands to make it actionable. Bands are color-coded across the platform.

Reliable
85–100

Favourable public signals across all three components: few or no PROFECO complaints — and any there are, settled — no projects on official irregularity registers, and a verifiable track record. Low risk, never zero.

Acceptable
65–84

Meets the basics with one or two observations: minor PROFECO complaints, mostly settled, or gaps in the documented track record. Proceeding is reasonable with reinforced due diligence.

Caution
45–64

Several warning signs: complaints not settled in the consumer's favour, projects flagged on official irregularity registers, or little verifiable track record. Consider alternatives.

High risk
< 45

Significant public observations: a high volume of unsettled complaints, or projects suspended or shut down according to official registers. Before you sign or pay a deposit, review those observations with an independent lawyer.

Data Confidence Index

How much we know, measured apart from the score

The Trust Score says how well a developer answers the questions we ask of it. The Data Confidence Index (ICD) says how many of those questions we could answer at all. They are different things and we publish them separately: a 70 built on eight answers is not the same as a 70 built on two. The index counts determinate answers, never lookups — searching a registry for a developer and not finding them is not knowledge.

  • Compliance (40%): checklist indicators resolved (55%), identity confirmed in PROFECO’s Consumer Bureau (30%), an official irregularity registry covering their state (15%).
  • Track record (35%): corporate age known (50%), projects published on the platform (50%).
  • Reputation (25%): a rating sample of at least 5 (50%), verified reviews (50%).

When a developer has no measurable reputation, the score spreads that weight across the other two pillars so it stays a whole number. The index does not: a narrowed evidence base is exactly what it exists to report.

The Provisional label

Below 50 points of confidence, a profile is published marked Provisional. It does not mean the developer is worse — it means we know little about them, and the number can move once we know more.

Today, 57 of 84 published profiles are marked Provisional. What moves that number most is confirming identities in the Consumer Bureau, manual work that is under way.

What is active and what is declared

Publishing a methodology means also saying which parts of it do not run yet. This table is the real state of every parameter: which moves the score today, which moves it partially, and which is declared because we want to measure it but has no public source we can consult without guessing. A parameter with no source weighs zero; it is never estimated or filled in.

ParameterSourceState
Complaints filed with PROFECO
Counts only when the company’s identity is confirmed. A search that returns nothing is not recorded as a zero.
Consumer BureauActive
Outcome of conciliation hearings
What share of concluded complaints resolved in the buyer’s favour.
Consumer BureauActive
Registered adhesion contract (NOM-247)
The registry is public, but we accept a match only on the exact legal name, never on a brand word.
PROFECO RPCAPartial
Developments flagged as irregular
The official list exists for Quintana Roo only. Elsewhere, absence does not mean there are none.
SEDETUSPartial
Building permit and land-use approval
There is no public lookup: each file is requested through transparency law, one at a time.
MunicipalitiesPartial
Environmental authorisation (MIA)
The searchable history covers mostly hotel projects in public consultation, not the residential portfolio.
SEMARNATNo source yet
Corporate age
Public registries and our own sourcesActive
Delivered projects
Verifiable in some cases; in others we have only what the developer publishes.
Our cataloguePartial
Verified buyer reviews
The mechanism exists and requires proof of purchase. There is not yet enough volume for it to carry weight.
The platformNo source yet
Litigation footprint
No connector. A lawsuit attributed to the wrong company is damage that cannot be undone, so we do not guess by name.
State judicial bulletinsNo source yet
Tax standing (article 69-B)
The list is public but can only be matched by tax ID; matching by name produces false positives.
SATNo source yet
Liens and condominium regime
Requires a paid certificate per property. We check it inside a report on a specific purchase, not on a profile.
Public Property RegistryNo source yet
Corporate structure and trust vehicle
No source consultable at scale.
Deeds and SIGERNo source yet

Per-project score (independent of the developer score)

Each individual development gets its own 0–100 score. Useful to compare projects from the same developer and identify differences between, say, a flagship tower and a satellite project. Four components:

  • Project regulatory compliance (license, MIA, land-use): 35%
  • Construction progress against the promised schedule: 25%
  • Financial safety and investment vehicle (trust, escrow): 20%
  • Developer backdrop (the developer current Trust Score): 20%

Versioning

The scores published today are computed with the methodology on this page, version SMF-2026.1: three pillars, the Data Confidence Index, and a snapshot frozen at every publication. A change of version is announced here, with a date, before it takes effect. No score is ever recomputed silently.

Update frequency

Scores are recalculated at least once a month. Material events (new PROFECO complaint, final ruling, project delivery, verified review) trigger an immediate recalculation.

Right of reply

Before we publish or downgrade a score, the developer receives the evidence file and 10 business days to respond or submit documents. The response — or the silence — is recorded on the profile.

External audit

PeninsuLawyers acts as the independent legal auditor: approves the methodology, reviews each indicator annually, and signs off on per-developer executive reports.

What the Trust Score is NOT

Not a financial or delivery guarantee. Not a substitute for individualized legal advice. Changes over time as new data arrives. Does not measure design, location, or subjective preference — only verifiable compliance, performance, and reputation.

B2B services for developers

Developers can buy three optional services: portal subscription, lawyer audit by PeninsuLawyers, and sponsored placement. None of the three alters the Trust Score, which is computed solely with the public methodology above.

"Active profile" badge

Shown when the developer keeps an active monthly or yearly subscription (5,000 MXN/mo or 49,990 MXN/yr). Unlocks review + flag replies and profile edits. Cancelable.

"Lawyer-audited" badge

One-off 29,999 MXN. PeninsuLawyers reviews incorporation, permits, and PROFECO compliance. Verifies document authenticity — does NOT guarantee project quality or investment results.

Sponsored slot

14,990 MXN/month per state. Appears as a highlighted card ("Sponsored" label) on home and state search during the paid month. It is advertising — not a recommendation. The Trust Score is unaffected.

Brokers and property listings

Brokers and agencies publish third-party inventory and are excluded from the Trust Score and developer rankings — a listing receives no trust rating. When a listing is linked to an assessed development, the Trust Score shown is the project developer's, not the property's or the broker's. The "Featured" listing is paid advertising, not a recommendation. We do not verify individual listings.

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